Hyder Amil vs Christian Rodriguez — Statistical Breakdown

Events/UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Horiguchi/Amil vs. Rodriguez

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Horiguchi·JUN 20, 2026·UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NVFeatherweightMain card · 3 rounds

Red corner

HyderAmil

Age36

Reach70"

Stanceswitch

Rankingunranked

Featherweight · 3 × 5

Blue corner

ChristianRodriguez

Age28

Reach71.5"

Stanceorthodox

Rankingunranked

Weight class

Featherweight

Bout slot

Main card

Format

3 × 5 min

Bout

A free-swinging hurricane meets a grinder who specializes in dragging finishers into deep water — does the power land before the wrestling takes over?

This is a statistical breakdown of publicly available fighter data. It is not a betting tip, not a guaranteed outcome, and not a recommendation to place any wager. Any decisions you make are your own.

The verdict

The read.

Statistical favorite, confidence and the confidence that frames it. The full why sits to the left.

Apex Scouter favorite · reviewed by analyst

the favorite

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Criteria met3 met

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Confidence0.0 / 10

Confidence reflects the strength of the statistical separation between the two fighters — not a win probability and not a betting signal.

Verdict confidence

YELLOW · MODERATE

Moderate statistical separation — a defensible lean with a live underdog path.

The verdict is locked

Create a free account to unlock previews — go Pro for the full 38-metric breakdown, verdict and game plan.

Context

The surrounding read.

The factors that frame the matchup beyond the metrics.

Strength of schedule

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Camps

Camp assessment

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Physical condition

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KO vulnerability

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Key edges

Where the fight is decided.

The decisive factors behind the call, in plain terms.

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Context & key edges are locked

Create a free account to unlock previews — go Pro for the full 38-metric breakdown, verdict and game plan.

The matrix

38-metric breakdown.

Grouped by weight. Lit side = the fighter holding the edge on that metric. Values are shown as reported — no fabricated magnitudes.

AmilMetric · edgeRodriguez

Critical 7highest-weight metrics

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Nostrud magnaEven

Magna sedEven

Sit doloreEven

Labore elitEven

Consectetur quisEven

Tempor loremEven

Important 17click to expand

Amet doloreEven

Incididunt consecteturEven

Sed adEven

Ipsum adEven

Do consecteturEven

Ad ametEven

Quis elitEven

Adipiscing sitEven

Sed temporEven

Lorem adipiscingEven

Eiusmod exercitationEven

Sit ipsumEven

Ipsum nostrudEven

Eiusmod minimEven

Eiusmod elitEven

Aliqua aliquaEven

Incididunt loremEven

Contextual 14click to expand

Do nostrudEven

Magna enimEven

Do adEven

Labore loremEven

Nostrud ipsumEven

Aliqua ametEven

Exercitation laboreEven

Dolor eiusmodEven

Ad utEven

Sed dolorEven

Aliqua utEven

Enim elitEven

Ad minimEven

Sed sedEven

38 of 38 metrics · 7 critical · 17 important · 14 contextualValues shown as reported

The 38-metric matrix is locked

Create a free account to unlock previews — go Pro for the full 38-metric breakdown, verdict and game plan.

Style & risk

Style matchup & upset risk.

The stylistic axes, then the two questions that could break the call.

Style matchup

Amil (red) · Rodriguez (blue) — pips scale to the larger value

ELIT AD

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DO TEMPOR

EXERCITATION MAGNA

ALIQUA AD

CONSECTETUR QUIS

Risks for the favorite

Favorite

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How the underdog can win

Underdog

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Game plan

How the favorite wins.

The favorite's two routes to victory, most likely first.

Primary path

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Secondary path

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Style, risk & game plan are locked

Create a free account to unlock previews — go Pro for the full 38-metric breakdown, verdict and game plan.

Apex Scouter · reviewed by analyst